NBA Tips & Betting Preview | Saturday 14 May

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics face a must-win Game 6 in Milwaukee to keep their season alive. They come off a hugely disappointing collapse in Game 5 as they struggled in crunch time. In the last quarter, the Bucks outscored them 33-21 and that was the major difference. However, they head to Milwaukee with confidence after completing a similar comeback in Game 4. Jaylen Brown was impressive in Game 5 with 26 pts and 6 assists. He was well supported by Tatum’s 34 pts and the Celtics star has scored 30+ in back to back games after a 10 pt effort in Game 3. Al Horford had a quiet outing in Game 5 with just 8 pts but he’ll be looking to replicate his 30 pt outing on this court in Game 4. In terms of injuries, Robert Williams is still struggling with a knee injury and has missed the 2 games. But with the series on the line, the Celtics will be desperate to get him out there.

The Bucks turned around their fortunes in this series with a massive 3 pt win in Game 5. They now get the opportunity to close the series on their home court and will be favoured to do so. It’s all about the Giannis and Holiday duo. Giannis comes off a 40 pt outing and 11 boards. However, he would like to improve in the turnover department after committing 7 in Game 5. Holiday was excellent defensively down the stretch, including a key block on Smart’s layup in the last minute. He finished with 24 pts. Bobby Portis also stepped up with 14 pts and 15 boards. Interestingly, Khris Middleton has been listed as questionable so he could return in Game 6. But that would come with a minutes restriction.

Boston have been strong on the road in this year’s playoffs and with their season up for grabs, we’re tipping they’ll force a Game 7. The Celtics have covered in their last 5 road games and also hold a 5-0 ATS record in Milwaukee. The Bucks have struggled to cover at home as they’re 1-7 ATS

Stadium Record

The Bucks are 10-4 in their last 14 home games. The Celtics have lost 13 of their last 16 in Milwaukee.

Head to Head Record

Milwaukee leads the series 3-2 after 5 games.

Best Bet

Boston Celtics +2.5 = $1.80

Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies kept this series alive with a huge 134-95 victory in Game 5 at home. As a team, they were on fire from beyond the arc as they hit 18 threes at 43%. They’ll also be well-rested for Game 6 as all 5 starters played under 26 minutes. Bane, Jones and Jackson all finished with 21 pts and also hit 4 threes. So it was a great team performance, especially without Ja Morant. Morant is still sidelined with a knee injury but the Grizzlies are stepping up without him.

Meanwhile, the Warriors simply had a shocker in Game 5. They committed 22 turnovers and their offence never really got going. Klay Thompson led the scoring with 19 pts and Kuminga was good with 17 pts. Despite the defeat, the Warriors are a much tougher team to beat on their home court and they’ll be eager to respond after an embarrassing display in Game 5. In terms of injuries, Otto Porter Jr. hurt his foot in Game 5 and is listed as questionable for Saturday. Gary Payton is still out with an elbow injury.

The markets are expecting the Warriors to close out this series at home but the Grizzlies deserve more credit. They come off a massive 39 point win and should be confident despite playing on the road. They’re also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and hopefully, the Warriors offence struggles to put them away.

Stadium Record

The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Memphis has a poor 3-9 record on the road against GS.

Head to Head Record

Golden State leads the series 3-2 after 5 games.

Best Bet

Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 = $1.89